UPDATE: Pakistan announces US and Iran have reached agreed text to end war, though Trump disputes leaked Iranian terms and key objectives remain unfulfilled including Iran's continued missile capability.
Pakistan announced Friday that the United States and Iran have reached agreed text to end their war, with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif saying peace 'has never been this close.' Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi also said a deal had 'never been closer,' and President Trump shared the statement while announcing that details would be released shortly. However, Trump later disputed Iranian media reports about the agreement's terms, calling them 'dishonorable' leaks that 'bear no relation to the truth.'
The conflicting accounts highlight remaining tensions even as both sides signal progress. Iranian media reported terms including lifting the US naval blockade and at least $300 billion in payments to address war damage, along with suspension of oil sanctions before final negotiations begin. US officials described a different framework: no funds released until Iran meets American demands, destruction or removal of nuclear material, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and cessation of funding to groups like Hezbollah. Vice President JD Vance emphasized that 'Iranians are not receiving any cash' simply for signing an agreement.
Despite optimistic statements, key Trump administration objectives remain unfulfilled. The president initially aimed to 'destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground,' but Iran demonstrated this week it still has missile capabilities by attacking three Gulf allies. While US strikes have degraded Iran's military and killed senior leaders, the country continues to pose threats. The war, which began February 28 with US and Israeli strikes, has severely disrupted global oil supplies and driven inflation worldwide, making any agreement critical to economic stability.
A fragile ceasefire has been in place since April 7, though the US and Iran exchanged fire intermittent times including twice this week. Trump threatened new attacks Thursday before canceling them, citing progress in negotiations. US stocks rallied 1.8% Thursday on hopes a deal could reopen Persian Gulf oil flows, with crude prices falling over 2%. The talks, mediated primarily by Pakistan, aim to extend the ceasefire and begin negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, though Israel is not involved in the discussions.
Editor’s rationale — Potential ceasefire agreement ending active U.S.-Iran-Israel conflict with massive geopolitical and economic implications (Strait of Hormuz reopening, nuclear material handling), but scored conservatively due to lack of official U.S. or Iranian confirmation, unfinalized details, and reliance on Pakistani mediation claims and anonymous U.S. official statements rather than primary confirmations from principal parties.